If the 2023 Emmy Awards nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict would be the nominees and winners? Our predictions center officially opened on January 31 and already more than 3,200 people have made their nominations forecasts in 20 top races. Who’s out front to claim golden trophies in our 2023 Emmy predictions? As of this writing, things are looking strong for Apple TV Plus’ feel-good comedy “Ted Lasso,” HBO’s family drama “Succession” and Netflix’s serial killer limited series “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” — but it’s still anyone’s game at this initial stage.
Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for Emmy predictions 2023, updated April 17. Our odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc.
Now predicted to receive nominations since the last update: Helen Mirren (“1923”) for Best Drama Actress, “Beef” for Best Limited Series, Ali Wong (“Beef”) for Best Movie/Limited Actress, Steven Yeun (“Beef”) for Best Movie/Limited Actor, and Young Mazino (“Beef”) for Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor.
BEST COMEDY SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Ted Lasso” — 9/2
2. “Abbott Elementary” — 11/2
3. “The Bear” — 13/2
4. “Only Murders in the Building” — 15/2
5. “Barry” — 17/2
6. “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel” — 13/1
7. “Wednesday” — 14/1
8. “Poker Face” — 16/1
Predicted Spoilers
“What We Do in the Shadows,” “Shrinking,” “The Great,” “Atlanta,” “Reservation Dogs,” “The Righteous Gemstones,” “Dead to Me”
BEST COMEDY ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Quinta Brunson (“Abbott Elementary”) — 71/20
2. Christina Applegate (“Dead to Me”) — 11/2
3. Jenna Ortega (“Wednesday”) — 11/2
4. Rachel Brosnahan (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 13/2
5. Natasha Lyonne (“Poker Face”) — 17/2
6. Selena Gomez (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
Elle Fanning (“The Great”), Linda Cardellini (“Dead to Me”), Cecily Strong (“Schmigadoon”), Bridget Everett (“Somebody Somewhere”), Natasia Demetriou (“What We Do in the Shadows”), Devery Jacobs (“Reservation Dogs”), Tatiana Maslany (“She-Hulk: Attorney at Law”)
BEST COMEDY ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Jason Sudeikis (“Ted Lasso”) — 19/5
2. Jeremy Allen White (“The Bear”) — 4/1
3. Bill Hader (“Barry”) — 5/1
4. Steve Martin (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 6/1
5. Martin Short (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 15/2
6. Jason Segel (“Shrinking”) — 14/1
Predicted Spoilers
Donald Glover (“Atlanta”), Nicholas Hoult (“The Great”), Sylvester Stallone (“Tulsa King”), Mohammed Amer (“Mo”), Bob Odenkirk (“Lucky Hank”), Matt Berry (“What We Do in the Shadows”), Ramy Youssef (“Ramy”)
BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Sheryl Lee Ralph (“Abbott Elementary”) — 9/2
2. Hannah Waddingham (“Ted Lasso”) — 11/2
3. Janelle James (“Abbott Elementary”) — 13/2
4. Ayo Edebiri (“The Bear”) — 15/2
5. Juno Temple (“Ted Lasso”) — 19/2
6. Alex Borstein (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 10/1
7. Lisa Ann Walter (“Abbott Elementary”) — 15/1
8. Sarah Goldberg (“Barry”) — 15/1
Predicted Spoilers
Cecily Strong (“Saturday Night Live”), Jessica Williams (“Shrinking”), Ego Nwodim (“Saturday Night Live”), Michelle Yeoh (“American Born Chinese”), Molly Shannon (“The Other Two”), Zazie Beetz (“Atlanta”), Ariana DeBose (“Schmigadoon”)
BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Tyler James Williams (“Abbott Elementary”) — 5/1
2. Brett Goldstein (“Ted Lasso”) — 5/1
3. Henry Winkler (“Barry”) — 7/1
4. Harrison Ford (“Shrinking”) — 19/2
5. Anthony Carrigan (“Barry”) — 10/1
6. Nick Mohammed (“Ted Lasso”) — 21/2
7. Tony Shalhoub (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 23/2
8. Bowen Yang (“Saturday Night Live”) — 18/1
Predicted Spoilers
Ebon Moss-Bachrach (“The Bear”), Brian Tyree Henry (“Atlanta”), Chris Perfetti (“Abbott Elementary”), Stephen Root (“Barry”), Kenan Thompson (“Saturday Night Live”), Mel Brooks (“History of the World: Part II”), Harvey Guillen (“What We Do in the Shadows”)
BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Taraji P. Henson (“Abbott Elementary”) — 19/5
2. Quinta Brunson (“Saturday Night Live”) — 5/1
3. Judith Light (“Poker Face”) — 7/1
4. Shirley MacLaine (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 15/2
5. Cherry Jones (“Poker Face”) — 15/2
6. Sarah Niles (“Ted Lasso”) — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
Harriet Walter (“Ted Lasso”), Molly Shannon (“Saturday Night Live”), Hong Chau (“Poker Face”), Jane Lynch (“Only Murders in the Building”), Tina Fey (“Only Murders in the Building”), Catherine Zeta-Jones (“Wednesday”), Aubrey Plaza (“Saturday Night Live”)
BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Nathan Lane (“Only Murders in the Building”) — 39/10
2. Steve Martin and Martin Short (“Saturday Night Live”) — 5/1
3. Luke Kirby (“The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel”) — 11/2
4. Pedro Pascal (“Saturday Night Live”) — 7/1
5. Adrien Brody (“Poker Face”) — 15/2
6. Leslie Odom, Jr. (“Abbott Elementary”) — 11/1
Predicted Spoilers
Dave Chappelle (“Saturday Night Live”), Jon Bernthal (“The Bear”), Nick Nolte (“Poker Face”), Luis Guzman (“Wednesday”), Oliver Platt (“The Bear”), Michael B. Jordan (“Saturday Night Live”), James Caverly (“Only Murders in the Building”)
SEE‘Succession’ Season 4 trailer debuts, HBO reveals March premiere date
BEST DRAMA SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Succession” — 4/1
2. “The White Lotus” — 11/2
3. “Better Call Saul” — 15/2
4. “The Last of Us” — 15/2
5. “The Crown” — 19/2
6. “House of the Dragon” — 19/2
7. “Yellowjackets” — 10/1
8. “The Mandalorian” — 28/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Yellowstone,” “Andor,” “The Old Man,” “The Handmaid’s Tale,” “The Boys,” “Slow Horses,” “Bad Sisters”
BEST DRAMA ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Melanie Lynskey (“Yellowjackets”) — 71/20
2. Imelda Staunton (“The Crown”) — 9/2
3. Bella Ramsey (“The Last of Us”) — 5/1
4. Emma D’Arcy (“House of the Dragon”) — 7/1
5. Elisabeth Moss (“The Handmaid’s Tale”) — 19/2
6. Helen Mirren (“1923”) — 18/1
Predicted Spoilers
Sharon Horgan (“Bad Sisters”), Juliette Lewis (“Yellowjackets”), Kelly Reilly (“Yellowstone”), Hilary Swank (“Alaska Daily”), Tawny Cypress (“Yellowjackets”), Christine Baranski (“The Good Fight”), Morfydd Clark (“Lord of the Rings: Rings of Power”)
BEST DRAMA ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Bob Odenkirk (“Better Call Saul”) — 4/1
2. Jeremy Strong (“Succession”) — 9/2
3. Pedro Pascal (“The Last of Us”) — 11/2
4. Brian Cox (“Succession”) — 11/2
5. Jeff Bridges (“The Old Man”) — 7/1
6. Paddy Considine (“House of the Dragon”) — 12/1
Predicted Spoilers
Diego Luna (“Andor”), Matthew Rhys (“Perry Mason”), Harrison Ford (“1923”), Kevin Costner (“Yellowstone”), Gary Oldman (“Slow Horses”), Dominic West (“The Crown”), Antony Starr (“The Boys”)
BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jennifer Coolidge (“The White Lotus”) — 9/2
2. Sarah Snook (“Succession”) — 11/2
3. Rhea Seehorn (“Better Call Saul”) — 13/2
4. Elizabeth Debicki (“The Crown”) — 8/1
5. Aubrey Plaza (“The White Lotus”) — 17/2
6. Christina Ricci (“Yellowjackets”) — 9/1
7. J. Smith-Cameron (“Succession”) — 13/1
8. Meghann Fahy (“The White Lotus”) — 15/1
Predicted Spoilers
Carol Burnett (“Better Call Saul”), Lesley Manville (“The Crown”), Milly Alcock (“House of the Dragon”), Yvonne Strahovski (“The Handmaid’s Tale”), Olivia Cooke (“House of the Dragon”), Ann Dowd (“The Handmaid’s Tale”), Fiona Shaw (“Andor”)
BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Matthew Macfadyen (“Succession”) — 9/2
2. Kieran Culkin (“Succession”) — 5/1
3. F. Murray Abraham (“The White Lotus”) — 7/1
4. Giancarlo Esposito (“Better Call Saul”) — 8/1
5. Matt Smith (“House of the Dragon”) — 21/2
6. Nicholas Braun (“Succession”) — 16/1
7. John Lithgow (“The Old Man”) — 16/1
8. Jonathan Pryce (“The Crown”) — 18/1
Predicted Spoilers
Jonathan Banks (“Better Call Saul”), Alan Ruck (“Succession”), Stellan Skarsgard (“Andor”), Tom Hollander (“The White Lotus”), Michael Imperioli (“The White Lotus”), Elijah Wood (“Yellowjackets”), Bradley Whitford (“The Handmaid’s Tale”)
BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Harriet Walter (“Succession”) — 9/2
2. Cherry Jones (“Succession”) — 9/2
3. Melanie Lynskey (“The Last of Us”) — 11/2
4. Fiona Shaw (“Andor”) — 8/1
5. Anna Torv (“The Last of Us”) — 9/1
6. Hope Davis (“Succession”) — 10/1
Predicted Spoilers
Betsy Brandt (“Better Call Saul”), Claire Foy (“The Crown”), Storm Reid (“The Last of Us”), Hiam Abbass (“Succession”), Nico Parker (“The Last of Us”), Mckenna Grace (“The Handmaid’s Tale”), Carrie Preston (“The Good Fight”)
BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Nick Offerman (“The Last of Us”) — 18/5
2. Murray Bartlett (“The Last of Us”) — 4/1
3. Bryan Cranston (“Better Call Saul”) — 11/2
4. James Cromwell (“Succession”) — 15/2
5. Andy Serkis (“Andor”) — 21/2
6. Arian Moayed (“Succession”) — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
Aaron Paul (“Better Call Saul”), Lamar Johnson (“The Last of Us”), Christopher Lloyd (“The Mandalorian”), Jon Gries (“The White Lotus: Sicily”), Michael McKean (“Better Call Saul”), Giancarlo Esposito (“The Mandalorian”), Timothy Dalton (“The Crown”)
BEST LIMITED SERIES
Predicted Nominees
1. “Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story” — 4/1
2. “Black Bird” — 11/2
3. “Fleishman Is in Trouble” — 6/1
4. “White House Plumbers” — 7/1
5. “Beef” — 9/1
6. “George and Tammy” — 23/2
Predicted Spoilers
“Daisy Jones and the Six, “”Love and Death,” “Obi-Wan Kenobi,” “The Patient,” “Extrapolations,” “Welcome to Chippendales,” “Swarm”
BEST TV MOVIE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Weird: The Al Yankovic Story” — 69/20
2. “Fire Island” — 9/2
3. “Prey” — 9/2
4. “Hocus Pocus 2” — 17/2
5. “Jerry and Marge Go Large” — 11/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Dolly Parton’s Mountain Magic Christmas,” “Boston Strangler,” “Reno 911: It’s a Wonderful Heist,” “Reality,” “Somebody I Used to Know,” “Disenchanted,” “Honor Society”
BEST MOVIE/LIMITED ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Jessica Chastain (“George and Tammy”) — 18/5
2. Emily Blunt (“The English”) — 13/2
3. Lizzy Caplan (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”) — 15/2
4. Riley Keough (“Daisy Jones and the Six”) — 8/1
5. Elizabeth Olsen (“Love and Death”) — 17/2
6. Ali Wong (“Beef”) — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
Dominique Fishback (“Swarm”), Vera Farmiga (“Five Days at Memorial”), Naomi Watts (“The Watcher”), Kathryn Hahn (“Tiny Beautiful Things”), Sydney Sweeney (“Reality”), Bel Powley (“A Small Light”), Rachel Weisz (“Dead Ringers”)
BEST MOVIE/LIMITED ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Evan Peters (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 37/10
2. Taron Egerton (“Black Bird”) — 9/2
3. Daniel Radcliffe (“Weird: The Al Yankovic Story”) — 13/2
4. Woody Harrelson (“White House Plumbers”) — 15/2
5. Michael Shannon (“George and Tammy”) — 10/1
6. Steven Yeun (“Beef”) — 11/1
Predicted Spoilers
Steve Carell (“The Patient”), Jesse Eisenberg (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”), Jesse Plemons (“Love and Death”), Justin Theroux (“White House Plumbers”), Ewan McGregor (“Obi-Wan Kenobi”), Ben Whishaw (“This Is Going To Hurt”), Jake Lacy (“A Friend of the Family”)
BEST MOVIE/LIMITED SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Niecy Nash-Betts (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 37/10
2. Claire Danes (“Fleishman Is in Trouble”) — 4/1
3. Lena Headey (“White House Plumbers”) — 13/2
4. Cherry Jones (“Five Days at Memorial”) — 19/2
5. Olivia Colman (“Great Expectations”) — 21/2
6. Judy Greer (“White House Plumbers”) — 13/1
Predicted Spoilers
Anna Paquin (“A Friend of the Family”), Merritt Wever (“Tiny Beautiful Things”), Lily Rabe (“Love and Death”), Maria Bello (“Beef”), Carrie Coon (“Boston Strangler”), Michael Learned (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”), Mckenna Grace (“A Friend of the Family”)
BEST MOVIE/LIMITED SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Paul Walter Hauser (“Black Bird”) — 18/5
2. Richard Jenkins (“Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story”) — 4/1
3. Domhnall Gleeson (“The Patient”) — 11/2
4. Ray Liotta (“Black Bird”) — 11/2
5. Murray Bartlett (“Welcome to Chippendales”) — 13/1
6. Young Mazino (“Beef”) — 20/1
Predicted Spoilers
Ciaran Hinds (“The English”), Bowen Yang (“Fire Island”), Greg Kinnear (“Black Bird”), Hayden Christensen (“Obi-Wan Kenobi”), Walton Goggins (“George and Tammy”), Colin Hanks (“A Friend of the Family”), Domhnall Gleeson (“White House Plumbers”)
PREDICT the 2023 Emmy nominees through July 12
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