Mission: Impossible – Final Reckoning unlikely to fail at the box office
Continuing the events of the previous film, Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning will take viewers to the final confrontation between Ethan Hunt and the rebellious artificial intelligence named The Entity.
However, to do that, he must gather a team of veteran associates to track down a sunken Russian submarine – where the only source code capable of destroying this AI entity is hidden.
Besides Tom Cruise, the film’s main cast includes Hayley Atwell, Ving Rhames, Simon Pegg, Esai Morales, Pom Klementieff, Henry Czerny, Mariela Garriga and Angela Bassett.
With more than a month to go before the film hits theaters, the first box office predictions for Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning have been released.
Deadline reported that market tracking firm Quorom estimated the film would earn at least $100 million in its first three days in theaters – on par with its competitor, the live-action Lilo & Stitch.
If forecasts hold true, it will be the most successful debut of the entire Mission: Impossible series , surpassing the previous record of Mission: Impossible – Fallout (2018) with $61 million.
This time, Final Reckoning doesn’t have to face off against a double-whammy like “Barbenheimer” (a portmanteau of Barbie and Oppenheimer , referring to two Hollywood blockbusters set to debut in the summer of 2023), but it still has some formidable competition when it hits theaters.
Most notable is the live-action Lilo & Stitch – a long-awaited project of Disney . Because in this year’s Super Bowl, the commercial with Stitch “rushing” into the stadium went viral, attracting 173.1 million views within 24 hours.
It is Disney’s most-viewed commercial on digital platforms, as well as the second-most-viewed live-action trailer in the studio’s history.
In addition, the film also has to compete with other big names such as Karate Kid: Legends starring Jackie Chan , Marvel Studios’ superhero film Thunderbolts and Final Destination: Bloodlines .
Therefore, box office results will depend on the appeal of the stars and the sustainability of each brand with loyal audiences.
Screen Rant commented: ” Mission: Impossible – Final Reckoning is unlikely to be considered a “box office failure” like Dead Reckoning.
The fact that the film is being promoted as the final chapter of the entire franchise – despite no official confirmation – is still a big draw for longtime fans.
With the undeniable appeal of Tom Cruise, Final Reckoning has a good chance of surpassing competitors like Thunderbolts or Lilo & Stitch.
The trailer also features many action scenes. At the age of sixty, Tom Cruise continuously performs adventurous scenes such as diving to explore a sunken submarine, flying in the air and jumping out of a plane, making the audience admire him.
Despite a production budget of up to $400 million, with the history of both commercial and professional success of the Mission : Impossible brand , it is highly likely that the film will at least recover its investment, or even make a profit.
Furthermore, Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning also had a special premiere at the 2025 Cannes Film Festival. This is one of the most anticipated films of this year’s Palme d’Or season.
Mission: Impossible – Final Reckoning is scheduled to hit theaters on May 23.